Leo Bastos

I am a Bayesian statistician working in the Scientific Computing Program (PROCC)  at the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, and I am also a Taekwondo student at Soares team dojan.



  • PhD in Statistics at the University of Sheffield, UK, 2010.
  • MSc in Statistics at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2003
  • BSc in Statistics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais, Brazil, 2002


In case you come across with this webpage looking for a possible MSc or PhD supervisor, I am a Faculty member of two graduate programs in which I can supervise MSc and PhD students:

I am a problem guided Bayesian statistician, which means that my focus is on writing appropriate statistical models to a specific problem. Therefore I am interested in problems where the usual model assumptions (e.g. independence, normality) are not valid, this may explain the big variability of application in my CV, varying from micro (analysis of mosquito data) to macro (National epidemics).

My research areas of interest:

  • Statistics
    • Hierarchical/Multilevel Bayesian models
    • Dynamic quantile models
    • Bayesian models for complex sample data
    • Bayesian computation (MCMC, INLA, ABC)
    • Statistical analysis of Network data
  • Health sciences
    • Epidemiology
      • Inference in hard to reach (H2R) populations (RDS, Network scale-up)
      • Modelling infectious diseases
    • Computational biology
      • Structural biology


Some external link and curiosity:

  • My academic genealogy tree (Link)
  • My Erdös number: 4 (Bastos > O’Hagan > Leonard > Taylor > Erdös)
  • My Cox number: 3 (Bastos > O’Hagan > Leonard > Cox)